The crowd is the oracle
Bet on the
timeline.
Parimutuel prediction markets for Solana's degen economy. No orderbooks. No LPs. No house edge. Just the crowd, the clock, and the receipts.
2% fee on winnings up to 1.5× conviction paper beta
7
Live markets
2.1K SOL
Paper volume
8.4K
Prophets
Live markets
The timeline, priced.
Every market is a tiny democracy with a public resolution source. Pick a side, stake your conviction, and let the crowd do the rest.
6 live markets · 26% avg YES crowd conviction
How parimutuel worksPump radar
Fresh from the curve.
Real tokens, live from Dexscreener. Paste any pump.fun link to turn a launch into a market in under a minute.
cached
Data: Dexscreener · 5 tokens · not an endorsement · do your own homework
The conviction engine
Early is an edge.
Conviction pays.
Most markets reward the people who show up last. Prophet rewards the people who show up first. Your conviction weight is set the moment you bet and locked until resolution.
- Bets placed at open carry up to 1.5× weight.
- Weight decays linearly to 1× at the deadline.
- It boosts your share of the losing pool — not your stake.
- No lockups. No early exit. Resolution is the exit.
Read the mechanics 2% fee on winnings
Conviction lab
Change the pools. Watch the math.
YES pool40 SOL
NO pool60 SOL
Your stake1 SOL
Conviction1.35×
Est. payout if correct
2.92 SOL
ROI
+192%
YES 41%NO 59%
Payout assumes the market resolves now with the current pools. Real odds move with every bet.
Try itTime-weighted
The earlier you bet, the bigger your slice of the losing pool. Up to 1.5×.
No LP games
No spread, no market maker, no orderbook. The crowd is the counterparty.
Paid on winnings
A flat 2% fee only touches the losing pool. Losing stakes are never taxed.
Mechanics
No LPs. No orderbook.
No counterparty roulette.
Parimutuel is the oldest trick in the book: everyone who picks the same side shares one pool. It is simple, transparent, and impossible to front-run with a market maker.
01
Pick a side
Every market is a binary question with a public source and a written rule. Read the fine print before you ape.
YES or NO. That's the whole interface.
02
Stake your conviction
Your stake enters the crowd pool. The odds move instantly. Early bets earn a time-weighted multiplier on their share.
No counterparty required. The pool is the market.
03
Winners split the pool
When the oracle resolves, the winning side splits the losing pool pro-rata. A 2% fee applies to winnings only.
Claim anytime. The receipts are public.
Season 0
Follow the
prophets.
Reputation is the only flex. Track win rate, ROI, and conviction streaks. Follow the wallets whose calls actually land — not the ones with the loudest replies.
Full leaderboard 8,412 prophets · 64% avg
982
Top score
12
Best streak
241%
Top ROI
Live rankings
7d01
Sibyl
@sibyl.sol
982
score
71.4%
win
+215%
roi
02
0xProphet
@0xprophet
951
score
68.9%
win
+188%
roi
03
Fartbender
@fartbender
914
score
66.2%
win
+242%
roi
04
Solmyth
@solmyth
878
score
64.7%
win
+133%
roi
Volume tracked · 8.4K SOL paperSee all
Fair launchpump.fun · Solana
The coin with a job.
$PROPHET.
No presale. No team allocation. No VC unlock chart. Just a fair launch on pump.fun and a token that does three things: create markets, stake the oracle, and govern the protocol.
1B supply 50% fees → buyback 0% presale
TBAFAIR LAUNCH · NO PRESALE · 50% OF FEES BUY BACK & BURN · ORACLE STAKING · 100% ON THE CURVE · FAIR LAUNCH · NO PRESALE · 50% OF FEES BUY BACK & BURN · ORACLE STAKING · 100% ON THE CURVE ·